Tuesday 24 July 2018

Summing-up Season 17/18

This specific post is mainly for my own personal sake. The total ROI for the 25 bets placed during the season amounted to 199.80%.

There were a few exceptional opportunities for great value last season like Top Half Finish - 2017/18: Millwall. In mid September Millwall at position 16 and still considered relegation candidates lined up impressive performances but the results just didn't match up - yet.


Market
Bookmaker
% of Bank
Probability
Profit
BuyLatest
Premier League
Top 6 Finish: TottenhamBetfair (SB)3.33%90.09%100.00%+11%
Not to Finish Top 4: ArsenalBetfair (SB)3.33%65.36%100.00%+53%
Arsenal v Tottenham 2017/18: TottenhamBetfair (Ex)3.33%61.35%100.00%+63%
Top 4 Finish: TottenhamBetfair (SB)10.00%81.97%100.00%+22%
To Stay Up: Crystal PalaceBetfair (SB)3.33%47.62%100.00%+110%
Top London Club: TottenhamBetVictor6.67%36.36%100.00%+175%
Bottom On Xmas Day: West HamBetVictor1.67%16.67%0.00%-100%
Bottom On Xmas Day: West BromBetVictor1.67%7.69%0.00%-100%
Top 10 Finish: Crystal PalaceBetfair (SB)6.67%34.84%0.00%-100%
Arsenal v Tottenham 2017/18: TottenhamBetfair (Ex)3.33%90.91%100.00%+10%
Championship
Top Half Finish - 2017/18: MillwallBetVictor8.33%20.00%100.00%+400%
Top 6 Finish - 2017/18: MillwallBetVictor1.67%2.94%0.00%-100%
Relegation: Burton AlbionUnibet5.00%62.50%100.00%+60%
Winner 1-6: CardiffUnibet5.00%62.50%100.00%+60%
Promotion: CardiffBetfair (Ex)3.33%32.21%100.00%+210%
Top Goalscorer: Matt SmithBetVictor1.67%1.96%0.00%-100%
To Stay Up: HullBetfair (Ex)6.67%88.64%100.00%+13%
League One
Promotion: WiganUnibet3.33%83.33%100.00%+20%
Top 6 Finish: RotherhamUnibet3.33%45.45%100.00%+120%
Top 6 Finish: RotherhamUnibet6.67%23.53%100.00%+325%
Promotion: RotherhamBetVictor1.67%6.67%100.00%+1400%
League Two
Bottom 2 Finish - 2017/18: Forest GreenBetVictor5.00%25.00%0.00%-100%
Bottom 2 Finish - 2017/18: Forest GreenBetVictor1.67%25.00%0.00%-100%
Top 7 Finish 2017/18: Lincoln CityBetfair (SB)1.67%40.00%100.00%+150%
Promotion 2017/18: Lincoln CityBetfair (SB)1.67%13.33%0.00%-100%

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