Saturday 22 September 2018

Birmingham Underrated

Birmingham's performance and league table position don't add up - yet. They perform above average in Championship when it comes to creating and conceding shots, but still they sit in 20th place in the league table:


Looking at created and conceded shots on target so far Birmingham also performs above the league average, actually close to high flying Leeds:



After 8 games and 6 (!) draws where Birmingham should have walked away with a lot more points than 6 I think it's a really good opportunity to bet on Birmingham finishing in top half in Championship (and also a minor bet on finishing Top 6). If Birmingham can continue performing anywhere near where they've started out there is good value in both markets.

I invest in the following markets:


Date
Market
% of Bank
Bookmaker
Probability
Profit
BuyLatest
Championship
22 Sep 18Top Half Finish 2018/19: Birmingham3.375%BetVictor16.67%16.67%+0%
22 Sep 18Top 6 Finish 2018/19: Birmingham0.375%BetVictor5.88%5.88%+0%

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